Forecasting

Satellites, numerical weather prediction, ensemble models, and the NHC advisory process: how observations become forecasts.

An introduction to this topic

Hurricane Dorian at Category 5 intensity imaged by the GOES-16 satellite NOAA · Public domain

How Hurricane Forecasting Works

From initial disturbance identification through cone of uncertainty to landfall warning, a complete explainer on the NHC forecast process and the technology behind it.

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